78 lakh boys and 78 lakh girls were aborted in India in 2015!

A paper was published in 2018 which proved that 15.6 million abortions happened in India in the year 2015. I have independently done a basic fact check here using abortion pill sales data, and the number seems to be accurate. The paper also shows that one third of pregnancies in India are aborted.
99% of Indians also have ingested the propaganda that Indians exclusively abort female babies using sex selective abortion. It is as if boys aren’t aborted at all. Consider this article –

India witnesses one of the highest female infanticide incidents in the world: study

The headline says infanticide (killing of an infant), but the article is actually about foeticide. 2 completely separate issues. Foeticide means abortion, killing the unborn foetus.

For the ‘my body my choice feminists’ who consider foetuses as non-humans and akin to a tumorous clump of cells, sex selective abortions shouldn’t be disgusting at all. After all, the woman is exercising her choice and the foetus isn’t even human!

But they do, of course for political and NGO funding reasons. The moral stand to take is to be against all abortions. But i digress, lower female to male sex ratio can indeed pose problems for society and thus needs to be addressed.
That will be shocking to most is when they find out the actual estimates of boys and girls aborted annually.
 

Estimating abortion numbers by sex

Assumptions and data
1. It needs to be understood that nature doesn’t give equal outcome. Thus the current average of birth sex ratio (BSR) of all countries is 1.0532 male births per female birth. ie. for 10000 live girls born, 10532 boys will be born. We will take this as natural Indian baseline (however Indian BSR might naturally be higher, no studies on it). Source: World bank data for 2017
2. No of live births in 2015 were 25.4448 million. Data from National Family Health Survey 2015-2016 – NFHS4 – (crude birth rate of 19.0 per 1000 population in 2015 and 133.9 Crore population), confirmed with 2012 UNICEF data.
3. Abortions in 2015 were 15.6 million from the paper linked at the top. So total births without any abortions = 15.6+25.445 = 41.045 million.
4. Indian birth sex ratio in 2012-2016 was 1.085 averaged (NFHS 4, Appendix E, 922 girls per 1000 boys).
From the above facts & assumptions, our computation yields that instead of 21.05Mn boys and 19.99Mn girls, 13.24Mn boys & 12.2Mn girls were born in 2015.

Ie 7.8 million boys and equal number of girls were aborted in 2015. This completely shatters the narrative that feminists want to set.

What does this data say about sex selective abortion

Boys and girls are not being aborted in the natural ratio of 1.05/1.06. So, some sex selection is indeed happening if we take natural Indian BSR to be 1.05/1.06. However, this sex selection can happen consciously or unconsciously. Some couples may be consciously aborting girl child.
Some may be doing it without knowing the sex. Research has shown that chance of girl being born slightly increases with mothers age, fathers age and existing number of children. So older couples who abort because they want no more children might be aborting more girls than boys unconsciously.
It is also possible that Indian BSR is now higher naturally in the range of 1.07/1.08. If this is true, this would then mean that sex selective abortions have become negligible. There are various studies which make this scenario slightly possible.
This 2011 paper “Sex Ratio at Birth and Mortality Rates Are Negatively Related in Humans” concludes that BSR increases as the country develops. It concludes

The correlation among SRB, fertility, GDP and life expectancy suggests that as human populations become more wealthy, the life expectancy increases (r = 0.80, p<0.001), total fertility is reduced (r = −0.75, p<0.001) and more sons are produced (r = 0.52, p<0.001)

Perhaps counterintuitively, we show that when the number of children per family is decreasing on average, the SRB bias may still increase despite a decreasing proportion of parents seeking sex-selective intervention. This is because, as we have shown, the impact of each sex selection event on distorting the aggregated SRB varies according to the level of fertility and increases with a reduction of average family size in an exponential relationship. This disproportionality effect is independent of the fertility squeeze effect.

The paper says that reduction in sex selection in a falling fertility scenario will not guarantee that sex ratio at birth improves. Fascinating. The feminists will keep blaming ‘misogynist’ Indians as the sex ratio will never improve even if sex selection stops.

SUMMING IT UP

Equal number of boys and girls are aborted annually. Those who complain about sex selective abortions should either take an anti abortion stance or make it clear that it is not the aborted babies that that they care about.

 
Note: Miscarriages have been ignored. Roughly 6-7Mn miscarriages happen annually in India.
Fun Fact: Wife does not need husband’s consent to abort baby as per Indian laws
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Quantifying the epidemic of abortions in India

https://dandneeti.blogspot.com/2019/04/quantifying-epidemic-of-abortions-in.html

Quantifying the epidemic of abortions in India

In 2018, a paper called “The incidence of abortion and unintended pregnancy in India, 2015” was published. The results published in this paper were a shocker. Some excerpts

We estimated that 15·6 million abortions (range 14·1 million–17·3 million) took place in India in 2015, giving an abortion rate of 47·0 (42·2–52·1) per 1000 women aged 15–49 years.

80% of pregnancies were aborted using pills easily available in chemist shops.

 12·7 million abortions (81%) were medication abortions obtained either in or outside facilities (figure 1). 2·2 million abortions (14%) were by surgical methods, and 0·8 million abortions (5%) were done outside of facilities by methods other than medication or surgical abortion.

A third of all pregnancies were aborted according to this report.

 33% of pregnancies ended in induced abortions, and 14% of pregnancies ended in a miscarriage. 52% of all pregnancies were intended

These numbers are huge, last estimate was of 6.4 million abortions in 2003 (link here). It is hard to believe that a third of all pregnancies are aborted. So let’s try and fact check.

Abortion Pill Market

A combo of mifepristone and misoprostol pills is used for abortion. It is recommended to be used before 7-8 weeks of pregnancy to avoid complications. This combo kit is different from iPill or other morning after pills. As per QuintilesIMS, a pharma market research firm, the abortion pill market is worth Rs. 400 Cr. Cadila Pharma’s Mifegest Kit and Mankind Pharma’s Unwanted kit have 25pc market share each. Other 20-22 pharma companies have the rest 50pc market share (link here). At a cost of Rs. 300 per kit, it would seem that about 13.5 million abortion pill kits are sold annually.
Mankind & Cadila sold abortion pill kits worth 2000 Million Rs in 2018. At Rs 300 a kit sales price to company, these 2 cos sell 6.7 million abortion pill kits annually. These 2 cos have 50pc market share.

These pharma sales numbers confirm that the research published in the Lancet is not far off from mark.

How did we get here?

1. Legalization of abortion in India viz Medical Termination of Pregnancy Act in 1971, heavily pushed by the west. Ford foundation was the chief player
2. 2002 – amendment to the Medical Termination of Pregnancy Act, permitting medication abortion up to 7 weeks’ gestation
3. 2003 – a further amendment, allowing certified abortion providers to prescribe medication abortion drugs outside of a registered facility as long as emergency facilities were available to them.
4. Abortion pills are sold like candy
2015 study showed that only 14% pharmacists asked for doctors prescription from anyone wishing to buy these abortion pill kits. Which means that there is 100% probability that the kit can be purchased at one shop or the other.
 
After medication abortions were legalized in 2002, Cadila Pharma was already selling above a million doses a year by 2005.

What does this mean?

India had close to 25.6 million live births in 2012. 2016 numbers are also closer to 26 million. Adding 15.5 million abortions and 7 million miscarriages, we find that total pregnancies were around 48 million. ie. a third of pregnancies were aborted.
Abortion (भ्रूणहत्या) is a mahapaap for Hindus. It is difficult for divinity to reside in a land where such organized murders are allowed to happen without anyone even batting an eye. Harbinger of further societal decay – broken families, increased premarital sex, increased single parent families, adultery, cuckoldry.

However, the practical solution to curb this epidemic will need to distribute the penalty on the would be fathers as well.